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SmithFS's avatar

There is such divergent opinions on this subject from the Club of Rome/Paul Erlich extreme Malthusian side to the extreme Cornucopian side of Isaac Arthur.

Isaac is an autistic genius who describes our solar system populated by 100's to even 1000's of trillions of people. And he is no fool. And in these scenarios human civilization could have minimal to nil impact on the Earth's biosphere. In fact may expand the Earth's biosphere to other planets and artificial structures in space:

https://www.youtube.com/@isaacarthurSFIA/videos

When you have such extremes in views, you really have to sit down and do some real hard analysis to come up with anything approaching a meaningful conclusion on human's future impact on the Earth's environment and any limitations on the material wealth of human civilization. Likely an impossible & totally futile task for anything beyond a couple hundred years, since any such predictions are at the crystal ball level.

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Imperceptible Relics's avatar

I've had this idea for years, that energy efficient cars and power plants should be build not because it might "save" the planet from destruction, but because humans should be encouraged to innovate and not rely on conventional technologies, which also aren't always the easiest to maintain (e.g a car that requires oil changes or fuel refineries). This has indirect benefits, such as smaller power plants, and less costly transportation systems (e.g.an electric transmission line over a number of gas stations). That said, it's not always simple to know which natural resources are abundant enough to substitute a prior resource (such as a fossil fuel) to transition to as an interim source (perhaps fusion or hydrogen being a third era after non-nuclear renewables)

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